Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 324.932617 368.581765 417.267451 475.842163 544.725183 623.550474 721.140157
2025-07-13 268.822839 328.020796 400.266586 495.968845 620.985203 780.960594 1004.791474
2025-07-20 240.602812 307.935338 395.161941 518.556039 692.115570 933.001578 1302.650937
2025-07-27 214.311147 284.505282 379.741129 521.651367 733.552836 1048.142209 1570.525232
2025-08-03 189.442823 258.857423 356.564173 508.406999 746.585809 1120.788500 1785.925865
2025-08-10 170.539902 238.928332 338.329085 498.655700 761.516087 1196.445618 2020.348422
2025-08-17 161.087953 231.407299 336.973441 513.832874 817.402062 1347.887080 2424.273144
2025-08-24 149.105747 218.658875 325.911766 511.413895 842.484938 1449.032137 2756.884774
2025-08-31 137.557214 205.375373 312.433234 502.884276 854.855994 1527.961707 3063.362544
2025-09-07 129.543698 196.888482 305.715706 504.885721 886.300461 1648.807384 3494.530004
2025-09-14 120.199828 185.398741 292.825879 494.164751 891.529611 1716.775701 3820.887077
2025-09-21 113.520862 177.743463 285.685655 493.010930 915.236331 1828.072700 4289.092004
2025-09-28 103.937110 164.650611 268.292766 471.241305 894.997146 1841.251293 4511.595895
2025-10-05 101.511199 163.657608 272.263991 491.280300 966.481866 2082.486780 5469.194069
2025-10-12 99.531372 163.230237 277.131335 513.590579 1046.706613 2364.541344 6678.195418
2025-10-19 95.173366 158.187230 272.916232 516.651568 1083.378603 2544.090811 7637.372473
2025-10-26 89.231028 149.827042 261.683120 503.560811 1079.562653 2613.639146 8239.849765
2025-11-02 84.208756 142.823488 252.509429 493.922207 1082.789794 2704.245894 8969.716199
2025-11-09 82.318924 141.531358 254.409153 508.923803 1150.677042 3002.008141 10709.758374
2025-11-16 78.722669 136.744038 248.913707 506.532883 1172.896705 3166.331232 11974.353159
2025-11-23 74.795387 131.067520 241.172710 498.101977 1177.589978 3276.262473 13056.936683
2025-11-30 72.154185 127.726014 237.985867 500.080291 1211.504007 3493.679646 14837.961380
2025-12-07 68.542153 122.251829 229.932757 489.482992 1208.029632 3580.934626 15985.104226